The Week Ahead: 11/23/15

Welcome to “The Week Ahead,” a weekly snapshot of what the week looks like as we sit presently on a Monday.

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weatherbell overnight lows 11.23
The overnight lows across the region. (Via. WeatherBELL Analytics)

It wasn’t just you this morning, it was really cold. In fact, it was the first region wide freeze of the season with the vast majority of folks dipping down below the 32° F mark overnight. The average overnight low was 29.3° F mark. As is normal, the mountains had the lowest temps as they dipped down into the low 20s, a few marine coastal areas still hovered near the 40 degree mark. The vast majority of us were at the freezing mark overnight, however.

Another observation this week comes from the Capital Weather Gang regarding today’s first freeze:

For the first time this fall, the temperature at Reagan National Airport dropped to the freezing mark. It came five days later than the 1981-2010 average of Nov. 18.

Here is a peek at the remainder of the week:

Monday, November 23, 2015
The Current Day’s Forecasted High Temps
  • Preeeeeeeeety cold. Yep. That’s about it. Cold.
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
  • The only difference between today and Tuesday is the fact that the winds die down and the temp jump a bit. This time round it’ll hover in near 50 as a warming trend starts.
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
  • It’s like Tuesday but may be a few clouds on top. No real difference to note overall.

Extended Outlook (Subject To Change)

Thursday, November 26, 2015 (Thanksgiving)
  • The turkey will be carved and the football will be snapped,
    As the Thanksgiving holiday does not look to be mishapp’d.
    The food to be served and the holiday tidings to be turned,
    The Thankfulness given won’t be as brisk as the heat hidden.
    Not a drop the the sky as you seek to drink your cup dry.
    Temps near sixty will feel quite nifty.(Basically, nothing weather wise to worry about. Temps near sixty.)
Friday, November 27, 2015
  • Rain possibly returns on Friday evening with temps in the mid 60s.
Weekend, November 28-29, 2015
  • Chance of rain possible on Saturday with the colder beating out the cooler temps on Sunday.

The fall feels like winter to start the week but looks to trend more mild as we head towards Friday. Only rain looks to MAYBE come to start the weekend, but still a bit of a ways out to nail down those details.

Happy Thanksgiving to you all! Enjoy it.

The Week Ahead: 11/16/15

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Love days like today. It’s gorgeous outside. Rain is nowhere to be seen and 70s dominate the temps.

Welcome to “The Week Ahead,” a weekly snapshot of what the week looks like as we sit presently on a Monday. The goal is to have this up every Monday so you can begin thinking about what to do and plan about the upcoming seven days.

Monday, November 16, 2015
Live Radar via Weather Underground
Live Radar
  • Its. So. Nice. Outside.
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
  • A little bit more cloudy and as a result a little cooler. Temps will hover in the low to mid 60s unless clouds break. If they break, I’d say expect a repeat of today.
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
  • Similar tale to Tuesday but bump up the temps a smidge. Mostly to partly cloudy with temps in the mid 60s.

Extended Outlook (Subject To Change)

Thursday, November 19, 2015
  • Rain looks to return on Thursday as a front sweeps through. 60s for highs, but they’ll drop off big time with the front.
Friday, November 20, 2015
  • Rain should be out of here, highs in the 50s with overnight lows flirting with the freezing mark, especially in the rural areas.
Weekend, November 21-22, 2015
  • Cold conclusion to the weekend. We’re eyeing MAYBE some rain in the evening Sunday. Still too early to figure out.


Not that bad of a week ahead. Aside from rain on Thursday, the temps stay manageable by most standards, but require the heavier jackets towards the end.

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What’d They Say? A Look At Other Winter Outlooks.

So we talked about this…MWC isn’t likely to post a winter outlook this year, at least as of right now. We still may do something by our typical Thanksgiving posting date. However, I’ll peek and look at what some are saying. This will serve as a comprehensive list of what others are saying about this winter. Who are these “others” I speak of? Meteorologists, forecasters and others I look to and trust with this stuff. So, here we go:

Doug Kammerer/StormTeam4 (NBC 4)

Capital Weather Gang (Washington Post)

National Weather Service (NOAA)


Joe Bastardi (WeatherBell)

Cirrus Weather (MWC Affiliate)

WeatherOn (MWC Affiliate)

More will come as time progresses, but for now…this is what we’ve got.

The Week Ahead: 11/9/15

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Monday, oh Monday. We’ve got the case of a ‘mundane Monday’ in the region as the clouds bank overhead and the rain drudges north with the winter chill piercing the jackets we pulled out of the closet for the first time in months a few weeks back. It’s all part of week that ushers back the cold that some have longed for and other dread. Welcome to November, folks. That 80 degree day last week? Bye for now.

Welcome to “The Week Ahead,” a weekly snapshot of what the week looks like as we sit presently on a Monday. The goal is to have this up every Monday so you can begin thinking about what to do and plan about the upcoming seven days.

Monday, November 9, 2015
Live Radar via Weather Underground
Live Radar
  • Ugly. Yuck. Bleh. This gets worse as a cold rain begins it’s north ward march. High won’t escape the 50s. Yuck.
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
  • Ugly. Yuck. Bleh. Again. Only this time: its worse. The rain will continue overnight into Tuesday and should begin it’s exodus around the start of Wednesday. Temps may creep into the lower 60s for some in the metros, southern Maryland and portions of the eastern shore.
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
  • A break in the action as Mr. Blue Sky makes an appearance. Veterans Day looks good for now as the rain leaves before sunrise, allowing for a nice crisp day. Temps will have  a better shot of reaching the 60s for most of you east of the mountains. Enjoy it, and thanks to all who have served.

Extended Outlook (Subject To Change)

Thursday, November 12, 2015
  • More rain! We have a shot at some showers with a front coming through. Coverage and duration is still up from grabs at this point and will be known in the coming days. Temps in the mid 60s for most.
Friday, November 12, 2015
  • Clear and cool, temps in the 60s.
Weekend, November 12-13, 2015
  • Cool start, cold finish. No rain in the forecast but Sunday looks noticeably cooler then Thursday through Saturday.

Overall its a cold week that gradually gets warmer as we move along with some rain mixed in. Jackets and hoodies look like must-haves for now. Have a rain jacket or umbrella handy.

Also, the newly formed Tropical Storm Kate poses no threat to us as it’s expected to go out-to-sea (OTS).

Let’s Catch Up

Hello there. Long time no speak. It’s been well over four months since I last published some sort of relevant post on here. Long story short, my summer was a thrilling/busy/exciting tiring/amazing one. I was a intern with the Southern Maryland Blue Crabs baseball team working in creative services. I could go on and on about the times that were had, but you have no time and neither do I.

I’m still with the Crabs as the community relations coordinator now, and with offseason upon us, I can give this site some attention it’s earned.

I gave this site a little facelift and will be trimming some ‘fat’ off it, making it what it’s been meant to be all along: Simple. Facebook and Twitter will get brought back up again. Forecasts will hope to become more frequent and dead air less frequent. I’m working towards gaining a few folks to work along side on the site as well, we’ll get to that eventually.

With that said, one item I’d like to discuss in the winter. I have full expectation to do normal forecasts for winter events, however I am on the fence about a seasonal forecast. MWC suffered a hit in ‘staffing’ I guess you could say as Mark Gonzalez moved on to sunny Florida as the summer started. He is well and has continued his love for forecasting on his new Facebook page.

Mark had the long term forecasting knack down. It was great and it’s what MWC has had its foundation set on around Thanksgiving every year. We ditched the forecast for outlooks about two years ago because we didn’t want to put a flag in the ground with a “HEY LOOK THIS WILL HAPPEN!” kind of mentality. Weather does not work like that, it changes, it moves, it flows and doesn’t give a second thought to a blog’s forecast. The outlook was a snapshot as to what things were looking like at that moment. Just pure relay of what the data was saying, nothing more or less. This year with Mark gone, we’re changing it all. No choice, honestly.

We’ll post what some other reliable weather outlets think about the winter ahead, but for us its day-to-day forecasting we’ll stick to, with peeks as to what the models are saying near term.

I’m posting this purley to hit “refresh” on a page and site that needs it. Those who have been following us for years are the best and you guys have deserved at least one more push at keeping this thing alive and well.

Thanks for the support. – Josh